Last four polls in Buenos Aires before the ban: a vote-by-vote battle between Santoro, Adorni, and Lospennato.

The last four polls before the election ban leave a mixed outlook and an open ending for this Sunday 's unprecedented legislative elections in the city . There will be 17 candidates competing to distribute just 30 local seats, but political fights are brewing in the background with a significant impact on the national level.

The studies that Clarín is advancing this Thursday are from the consulting firms CB , DC , CIGP and Isasi-Burdman .

Two polls put the Kirchnerist Peronist candidate, Leandro Santoro, in first place. The other two place Manuel Adorni, the Milei's candidate for this key race, in the lead. The third contender is Silvia Lospennato, the PRO candidate's top candidate, who appears second in one poll and third in another, but close behind Adorni.

One of the central battles of this election is precisely the virtual internal battle between the Macri supporters and the Libertarians , who failed to reach an agreement, are running on separate lists, and whose political relationship will largely depend on the weekend's outcome.

Since the closing of the lists on March 29, Clarín has seen nearly 25 polls measuring voting intentions for the Buenos Aires legislative elections. Santoro, the leader of the "Es Ahora Buenos Aires" list, the label created to distance himself from Kirchnerism, appeared first in 18.

In an interview with this newspaper , the Union for the Homeland deputy said it clearly: "The City is not Cristina's district, and her participation in the campaign was not considered."

Now, Santoro appears ahead in the CB and CIGP polls, with 26.5% and 27.8% respectively. In both cases, there is good news for Lospennato , who is in a technical tie with Adorni . In the former, the presidential spokesman has 22.2% against the 21.1% of the Macri representative; in the latter, she appears above him: 19.7% to 18.5%.

Larreta comes in fourth, with very disparate numbers. CB gives him 6.5% and CIGP 13%. Fifth is Ramiro Marra, the "blue" libertarian running with the historic Ucedé: he has 4.9% and 5.5% respectively.

At the bottom, the remaining dozen are in the lead, with one basic objective: to secure the three points that would guarantee them a seat. In the case of CB , it places Vanina Biasi (Left Front) with 3.6% ; and CIGP awards Paula Oliveto (Civic Coalition) 3.8% . The rest fall short.

Especially in favor of those fighting at the bottom, the percentages are still undecided, hovering around 5 points in this case. When that number clears, all the figures rise.

As for the studies that place the Libertarian spokesperson first, they are two consulting firms that generally give good numbers to the government/ruling party. They are DC and Isasi-Burdman . These firms, along with Opinaia and Equipo Mide, were the only ones throughout this process to give the spokesperson the lead for the Buenos Aires legislative elections.

The rest that this newspaper was able to contact ( Tendencias , Synopsis , Circuitos , CB , Fixer , Federico González , Proyección , Aresc o , Casa Tres and Opina Argentina ), always had Santoro as their leader.

Returning to the latest polls, the DC poll has Adorni in the best position, with 29.3%, ahead of Santoro (24.1%) and Lospennato (18%). One of the new developments here is that Marra is in fourth place, with 8.2%; and Larreta is in fifth, with 6.3%.

In the Isasi-Burdman race, there's a technical tie at the top, with the Libertarian candidate just ahead of the Radical K candidate : 22% to 21% . Lospennato is at the bottom of the podium with 15%, and in this case, the "blue" Macri candidate, Larreta, is ahead with 10%.

Such a dispersion, coupled with the uncertainty of how many people will actually vote after the high turnout in the five provincial elections held so far, has analysts cautious and insisting on the idea of ​​an "open ending/uncertain outcome."