The Supreme Court Is Now Asking Judges to Do the Impossible

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The Supreme Court expanded Donald Trump's power yet again on Wednesday,granting him the authority to fire Democratic members of the Consumer Product Safety Commission in direct violation of federal law. Over the liberal justices' dissent, the conservative supermajority greenlit the first step of Trump's systematic destruction of the agency—a plan that collides with many other federal statutes. The court's action imperils the CPSC's ability to ban products that may maim or kill consumers, including children, giving corporations free rein to flood the market with dangerous goods. And it hands the president even more leeway to restructure the federal government in ways that hurt regular people, reward the wealthy, and contradict Congress' direct commands.
What's perhaps most galling about Wednesday's decision, aside from the fact that it makes us all less safe, is SCOTUS's reprimand of lower courts that try to stop Trump's abuses of power. The majority scolded these courts for failing to interpret the smoke signals it has sent up on the shadow docket and, instead, daring to enforce existing precedent that limits executive authority. It seems the Republican-appointed justices are determined to radically rewrite the law—without admitting what they're doing or offering any explanation—while demanding that lower courts somehow read their minds and fall in line. These justices are increasingly embracing the Trump administration's scornful attitude toward any judge who stands in its way. Yet they do not appear to recognize that by undermining lower courts, they are putting their own independence at risk as well.
Congress created the CPSC in 1972 to protect consumers from products that could injure or kill them. It established the commission as a bipartisan agency whose five members were shielded from removal by the president. Lawmakers insisted upon this independence to ensure that it could operate “unfettered by political dictators, self-interested industry pressure or blind consumer zeal.” Over the past 53 years, it has fulfilled its duties, outlawing risky products and, when appropriate, penalizing the companies that sell them. A scan of recent recalls illustrates the breadth of the agency's work: In recent months, the CPSC has issued warnings about e-bike batteries that explode, aboveground pools that drown children, steamers that spew boiling water, loading ramps that break in use, baby gates that entrap and suffocate kids, and a bug zapper that shocks users. The list goes on and on, in part because the federal government imposes relatively few regulations before products go to market, relying instead on postsale recalls to remove hazardous goods.
Trump, however, does not like the CPSC, because it has the power to investigate and punish companies that sell these goods. And many of these companies' owners donate to the Republican Party. So the Trump administration seeks to abolish the agency and transfer remnants of its mission to Robert F. Kennedy Jr. When the CPSC's three Democratic members objected to this unlawful interference with their mission, the president fired them . They then sued, arguing (correctly) that federal law barred their removal. The lower courts agreed and reinstated all three members . Trump's Justice Department then asked the Supreme Court to fire them again, whichit did on Wednesday , by a 6–3 vote.
That decision came as no surprise: In May, the same majority allowed Trump to fire members of two other federal agencies who were protected against removal by law. Those terminations directly contradicted a 90-year-old Supreme Court precedent, Humphrey's Executor , that upheld removal protections at independent agencies. The majority, though, did not explain why it had ignored this precedent when it rubber-stamped Trump's illegal removals. That silence left the lower courts in a momentary: Should they follow binding precedent that renders the firings illegal? Or should they assume that SCOTUS has quietly overturned that precedent on the shadow docket? These courts stuck with the rulebook, which obliges them to follow precedent until it's formally overturned.
For that, they received a rebuke from the high court this week. In an unsigned opinion, the majority reprimanded the lower courts for failing to infer that May's shadow docket order was meant to “inform how a court should exercise its equitable discretion in like cases.” The district and appeals courts should have intuited that SCOTUS thinks the government faces unacceptable “harm” when “a removed officer” may “continue exercising” their “statutory duty.” They also should have realized that May's case does not “differ” from this one “in any relevant respect”—even though this case involves an entirely different agency that wields distinct powers. In short, these judges should have deciphered the Supreme Court's hints to divine that Humphrey's Executor is suddenly a dead letter after 90 years on the books.
This declaration enshrines a new rule for the entire judiciary: No longer can lower courts apply the law as it stands today; they must try to anticipate where the law will stand tomorrow , and align their rulings with that prophecy. Rather than enforcing precedent, these courts must ballotize SCOTUS's shadow docket decisions for any hint of where the conservative supermajority will take the law next, and try to get there first.
This new command is fundamentally unworkable, and not just because judges have no special ability to predict the future. The deeper problem, as Justice Elena Kagan noted in her dissent on Wednesday, is that the court frequently does not explain its shadow decisions at all . More and more, the majority simply halts an injunction against the Trump administration without offering a word of explanation.
For instance, Kagan pointed out, the court allowed Trump to begin dismantling the Department of Education last week by purging more than 1,400 workers and shuttering key offices. Why? It didn't tell us. And the DOJ offered at least four different reasons for SCOTUS to permit the firings, ranging from standing claims to jurisdictional arguments to narrow attacks on the district court's remedial order. Which reason did the court embrace? We don't know. The same is true of the court's June decision allowing the expulsion of immigrants to third countries without due process. The DOJ raised a slew of arguments to defend the program, including a challenge to the nationwide class of plaintiffs and an entirely distinct claim on the merits. Which swayed SCOTUS? Once again, he declined to tell us.
Yet now the majority informs us that these unexplained orders are meant to “inform how a court should exercise its equitable discretion in like cases.” What that probably means in practice is that courts should just defer to Trump on the assumption that SCOTUS will award him a victory anyway. By browbeating judges into submission, the Supreme Court can lighten its own workload, minimizing the need to issue further emergency orders on behalf of the president. In the words of Kagan's dissent, this approach will also “facilitate the permanent transfer of authority, piece by piece by piece, from one branch of government to another.” So, for now, it is all upside for the Republican-appointed justices, who are clearly sick and tired of the judicial boxing in Trump's agenda.
But these justices have their own agenda too, and it will not always align with the president's . They seem to think they can throw lower courts under the bus for Trump without sacrificing their own authority to tell him no when the time comes. But this administration has already challenged one in three judges ruling against it. And it is wishful thinking, verging on delusion , for these justices to believe that the Supreme Court alone can still command obedience from the man it seeks to crown a king .
