2026 Elections: Survey monitors the race for governor of Bahia; see the numbers

ACM Neto and Jerônimo Rodrigues are technically tied in the main scenario tested by Real Time Big Data
By CartaCapital 09/22/2025 08:33


Former Salvador Mayor ACM Neto (União) leads the race for governor ofBahia in 2026, but is closely followed by current Governor Jerônimo Rodrigues (Workers' Party). This is the conclusion of a new Real Time Big Data survey released by CNN Brasil on Monday, the 22nd.
According to the survey, ACM has 40% of voting intentions, compared to 36% of mentions for Jerônimo. Since the margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points, the two are technically tied. The data comes from the main scenario tested. The other candidates don't exceed 5%. Look:
- ACM Neto (Union) – 40%
- Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) – 36%
- João Roma (PL) – 5%
- Kleber Rosa (PSOL) – 2%
- José Carlos Aleluia (New) – 1%
- Null/Blank – 10%
- Don't know/Didn't answer – 6%
The survey released by the TV channel this Monday also presents a second scenario in the dispute for the government of Bahia in 2026. Once again, there is proximity between ACM and Jerônimo. Check it out:
- ACM Neto (Union) – 43%
- Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) – 36%
- José Carlos Aleluia (Novo) – 2%
- Kleber Rosa (PSOL) – 2%
- Null/Blank – 11%
- Don't know/Didn't answer – 6%
The Real Time Big Data survey in Bahia included 1,200 interviews conducted between September 18th and 19th.

CartaCapital For 31 years, the greatest progressive reference in journalism in Brazil.
Subscribe to our newsletter and receive an exclusive morning bulletin
Many people have forgotten what they wrote, said, or defended. Not us. CartaCapital 's commitment to the principles of good journalism remains unchanged.
Combating inequality is important to us. Denouncing injustice is important. A democracy worthy of the name is important. Adherence to factual truth and honesty is important.
We've been here for 30 years because we care. Like our loyal readers, CartaCapital remains vigilant.
If good journalism matters to you, help us keep fighting. Subscribe to the weekly edition of CartaCapital or contribute whatever you can.
Subscribe to our newsletter and receive an exclusive morning bulletin
CartaCapital